Pandemic simulation reveals critical vulnerabilities

Results of a recent influenza pandemic simulation show that telecommunications systems could be overwhelmed, and the Internet could shut down within two to four days of an outbreak.

The simulation conducted by Booz Allen Hamilton Inc., McLean, Va., and the World Economic Forum, found that an outbreak of avian flu would severely challenge the ability of governments and the private sector to manage essential services and communicate crucial information.

Because telecommuting will not be a viable option, public and private organizations will need to establish partnerships that would enable them to coordinate a plan for the use of alternative communications channels, Booz Allen said in a debriefing statement.

"Governments and business organizations need to work together to improve their ability to manage a possible avian flu pandemic," said Heather Burns, a senior vice president of Booz Allen. "The time to start preparing is now."

In the simulation, a hypothetical pandemic originates in Eastern Europe and spreads to Germany, where it rapidly spreads through much of Europe. As a result, everyday life practically grinds to a halt continent, Booz Allen said in a statement.

Booz Allen, which has more than 17,000 employees and annual revenue of more than $3.5 billion, ranks No. 9 on Washington Technology's 2005 Top 100 list of federal IT prime contractors. The 2006 Top 100 list will be released May 15.