Fiscal cliff averted, but pain still to come

Well, Congress got part of the way there, but essentially little was solved. Sequestration still hangs over the market.

Along with playing with the kids and relaxing over the holiday break, I kept an ear out for what was going on between Congress and the White House.

It was disgusting, to say the least. Very little was accomplished other than finding a compromise to the tax issue. But sequestration was kicked down the road for two months.

It is very unfortunate and disappointing that a more long-term solution couldn’t be hammered out.

Think about all the time, energy and angst that went into that two month delay. Congress could have done that a few months ago, when they passed a continuing resolution that extends funding until March.

With our luck, we’ll probably now have a triple cliff facing us – sequestration, the CR expires and the debt ceiling running out.

In a few days, the new Congress will be seated, and it’ll fall to them to figure something out.

I’m giving up on predictions, but a lot will depend on whether the new Congress has a different personality compared to the old Congress. Will there be more willingness for compromise? That, I don’t know. Many of the same players are still there, so...

If the taxes issue is really solved now, then that removes one bone of contention, and perhaps Congress can hash out a deal on spending.

Based on recent history, we can probably expect any action to come at the last possible moment.

So right now, we have a two-month planning horizon, but that doesn’t really buy you much visibility if you are making million-dollar decisions.

Essentially, we’re in the same spot we were in August or September, and that’s a shame.